Tuesday, December 06, 2005

The most dangerous man alive

I cannot beat this opponent.

We all know him and have been annoyed to the point of suicide by him.

The type of player who will call you down to the river with nothing but ace high / no draw. But they aren’t your standard calling station. They are aggressive. They will bet with anything, and they will call with anything. They raise pre-flop with A5o and they call re-raises after limping in with 54o. They over bet pots as bluffs and with strong hands. They call no matter what they have hoping to hit that miracle card on the river. On their statistics where it states the percentage of times they have seen the river – that percentage is 100%. Hands taken to showdown? 100%.

There is no known cure for this opponent.

Sure, you can isolate, very easily in fact. Since there is no possibility that this opponent will fold preflop, and will most likely have already raised the pot, a simple re-raise will usually eliminate everyone, and leave you heads up. But since there is no discernable pattern in his betting (he bets with anything and he calls with anything) there is no way to truly know if you are ahead. Say you raise with AK and the board is A92 rainbow, and you have your friend heads up. Mathematically I will be ahead here approximately 99.9% of the time, but against this opponent, I now know I am up against a better hand. I should probably just fold, saving myself the inevitable large loss that I will incur.

You can only make estimated guesses as to your position. You have top pair top kicker and he is betting into you? A re-raise will put more money in the pot, but he will insta-call you. Now what do you know? Turn comes a blank, and he check/insta calls you to the river. River comes another blank and now he comes out betting a pot sized bet, what do you do? You’ve seen him do this as a bluff, with strong hands, with top pair, how can you make this decision? You don’t. You fold and go to another table. Weak? Yes. But is there any reason to get in an e-cock contest online? There is no doubt about, this opponent WILL suck out on you, and he will frustrate you to no end. And because he bets and calls everything, you can’t out play him, unless you pick up the nuts.

Tell tale signs of this opponent?

Betting and calling re-raises with any pair. It doesn’t matter if it is bottom pair with a 2 kicker, this man will bet it, and call an all in re-raise with it.

Betting and calling with any draw – including a gutshot draw. Same as above, even a gutshot draw is good enough to bet, and call an all in re-raise with.

Seeing every hand from the flop – river. Ignorantly raising and calling on every street.

If you are up against this opponent take your money elsewhere, unless you enjoy heartbreaking fluctuations in your bankroll.

3 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just stay in when you have a hand. You may pay him off sometimes but you will win more often. The only difference is that your EV against him will have a high variance. Be sure that you always have more money on the table than this guy. When you hit your monster hand you can put him all in and take everything. If you can't stomach that large variance then you are probably playing too high stakes.

9:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yeah, I've played this type of player. But I soon found out that he just wanted to see all the cards before he folded. He would stay to the river check with nothing and bet with a pair or better. Took a few orbits to determine this but I find it not that uncommon.

5:37 AM  
Blogger RikkiDee said...

Yea Alan, it's mostly the variance that I can't stomach. I understand the theory on how to beat this player, but it is my risk-averse nature to not play large pots with uncertain hands.

I think I just need to "desensitize" myself to that player type. By playing them a lot I can get used to it perhaps, like watching too much porno.

2:29 PM  

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