What? Variance in poker? WTF
This month has been absolutely fucked. Not two sessions have gone by without a $1k swing in either direction. I'm slowly losing my mind.
My once glorious new fishing hole has become a sea of nits, not willing to put a god damn penny in the pot without a set. And each time they check raise me, I always say to myself, "no way they have another fucking set". One stack later I find out that they do.
That line has been one of the most costly for me. Whenever any player, good or bad makes a bet that is basically only representing one hand (betting the river when the flush comes, etc) immediately I think, "oh he is just REPRESENTING the flush, no way is he going to be this obvious about it. And besides, I only need to be right like 1 in 3 times here to make money in the long run". It seemingly never works out for me.
Anyways, I had a concept in mind when I started this post. Its about extracting value from your hand at a table where every player is either loose/passive, or tight/passive. That is, you aren't going to be making any money catching people bluffing, or them overplaying their top pair/overpair type hands. In theory the only way to make money at this type of table is to value bet the shit out of the loose/passive players, and bluff a lot vs the tight/passive players.
This is old news.
But you'll still need cards to make any substantial money it seems. Sure you can steal Mr tightys blind every time, until he wakes up with a hand. And then since you've been bluffing him so much, he knows you'll be apt to fire more shells at him. He gets smart, slowplays his hand, and bam, another buyin gone for you. Its a trap I've been falling in regularly because I'm so desperate to make some money off all the tight/passive players that have come about. I think ultimately I just need to take my shots at all the extremely small pots they let me have, and shut down quicker when they show interest.
Poker is hard, even when your opponents suck.
My once glorious new fishing hole has become a sea of nits, not willing to put a god damn penny in the pot without a set. And each time they check raise me, I always say to myself, "no way they have another fucking set". One stack later I find out that they do.
That line has been one of the most costly for me. Whenever any player, good or bad makes a bet that is basically only representing one hand (betting the river when the flush comes, etc) immediately I think, "oh he is just REPRESENTING the flush, no way is he going to be this obvious about it. And besides, I only need to be right like 1 in 3 times here to make money in the long run". It seemingly never works out for me.
Anyways, I had a concept in mind when I started this post. Its about extracting value from your hand at a table where every player is either loose/passive, or tight/passive. That is, you aren't going to be making any money catching people bluffing, or them overplaying their top pair/overpair type hands. In theory the only way to make money at this type of table is to value bet the shit out of the loose/passive players, and bluff a lot vs the tight/passive players.
This is old news.
But you'll still need cards to make any substantial money it seems. Sure you can steal Mr tightys blind every time, until he wakes up with a hand. And then since you've been bluffing him so much, he knows you'll be apt to fire more shells at him. He gets smart, slowplays his hand, and bam, another buyin gone for you. Its a trap I've been falling in regularly because I'm so desperate to make some money off all the tight/passive players that have come about. I think ultimately I just need to take my shots at all the extremely small pots they let me have, and shut down quicker when they show interest.
Poker is hard, even when your opponents suck.
posted by RikkiDee at 6:51 PM
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