Wednesday, March 05, 2008

The Great Shortstacking Experiment

I've been really sick lately, and playing with a headache and sore throat isn't fun or profitable. I'm actually having troubles even writing this as my head just isn't in the right place. But I still have needed to work, so I've been experimenting with shortstacking cash games for the past week.

"Shortstacking" is basically buying in to a table for the minimum and mostly going all in preflop facing raises. I can do this without paying much attention at all, and my sit&go background helps out immensely as its mostly about math and ranges. I can also play 12 tables with ease, which technically has the potential for more income than 4-5 tabling 400NL full stack assuming a similar win rate. Whats interesting is I can actually achieve a similar win rate shortstacking compared to fullstacking. It's not quite that high, but for no real effort or thought, its a decent substitute.

Whats also interesting is that its despised throughout the poker world - especially if you are good at it. Poker players hate it because it pretty much ruins the "game" meaning that too many pots become about preflop decisions, and not about the multistreet ones. It also has an effect of shutting out the fish as if a tag raises and I push fish will just fold, and tags have to play vs my perfect pushing range preflop instead of bad fish postflop. But, fuck em, I'm sick.

Like sit&go's, variance is a huge factor, and 100% beyond your control. Because you are going all in preflop hundreds of times you are completely at the mercy of the cards, and sometimes the runs can get real ugly. However, only the long run is important, and thats all that I'm concerned with. But, just to show you how stupid things can get, heres a graff.




























Another poker EV graph. The red line is what I should have won in my all ins, and the blue line is what I did win. The chart below identifies the exact numbers. The important number is the "Net Run (All-Ins)" where is states that I've lost -$1587.07 in equity. To put that in perspective, I buy in for $40 at a time. Being down $1587 that means I'm down a ridiculous 39.7 buyins JUST IN EQUITY. So in the long run I'll win lots of monies, but right now I just gotta take it up the ass.

and thats it for now, I need to go back to bed

4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dee! I started to enjoy heads up cash games. The problem is I don't know when to quit. This is the typical night for me. Last night I decided to put my whole bankroll $200 into a $1/$2 HU cash game. I started at ~11:00pm. by 3am I had over 1K but the donk kept reloading. Though I should have went to bed I kept playing. Then it happenned "tilt" after a measily beat that I probably could have avoided if I wasn't so tired. I then tilted all my winnings away and then some. When do you know when to quit? What do you do?

1:41 PM  
Blogger Fuel55 said...

You may even be running worse than me ...

7:30 PM  
Blogger TripJax said...

Interesting stuff man...

2:55 PM  
Blogger Will Palango said...

u run so bad.

8:41 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home